Shareable intelligence

Ghana

5 objects, each built so its context cannot be cropped away. Every one states the scenario range rather than a single value, carries the confidence level and the date the evidence was last checked, and links back to the full page it came from.

Copy a card's link to share it. Screenshot one and the qualifications come with it, because they are inside the frame rather than under it.

Country outlook · Western Africa

Ghana

Three scenarios, two horizons. The range is the finding — a single number would imply knowledge nobody has.

Measure	Latest observed	2031	2036
Output per person	$3,257 2025	$3,419 – $4,662	$3,559 – $6,287
Electricity access	92% 2024	95% – 97%	96% – 99%
Internet use	72% 2024	83% – 90%	87% – 95%

Growth bands: 0.81% · 3.48% · 6.16% a year per person, from Ghana's own 15-year record (2011–2025) — mean ± 0.85 standard deviations, clamped to its own 5th–95th percentile. Not an outside estimate of what this country might do.

Who this outlook leaves out

Everyone dependent on public salaries and services when prices fall
Firms whose expansion depends on credit, in an economy holding little of it relative to output

2031 versus 2036 · Ghana

Two horizons, asked the same question

By 2031

Household electricity access moves from 91.9% of the population (2024) to between 95% and 97% by 2031, depending on the scenario. Simple continuation gives 96% — a rise of 4 percentage points.
In people rather than percentages: about 1.6 million would still be without it in 2031 under continuation — 1.2 million fewer than in 2024, because the population grows as the share improves.
Internet use moves from 72.2% of the population (2024) to between 83% and 90% by 2031, depending on the scenario. Simple continuation gives 86% — a rise of 14 percentage points.
In people rather than percentages: about 5.4 million would still be without it in 2031 under continuation — 4.4 million fewer than in 2024, because the population grows as the share improves.
Output per person spans $3,419 to $4,662 by 2031. The $1,243 between them is a quarter to a half of today's $3,257.
That spread is the distance between scenarios, not a margin of error — and it is a national average, which does not identify whose income moved.
The population reaches about 38.9 million — roughly 3.8 million more people than in 2025, about 24.3 million of them of working age.
This figure is the same in all three scenarios. Most of the people who will be alive in 2031 have already been born.

By 2036

Household electricity access moves from 91.9% of the population (2024) to between 96% and 99% by 2036, depending on the scenario. Simple continuation gives 98% — a rise of 5.6 percentage points.
In people rather than percentages: about 1.1 million would still be without it in 2036 under continuation — 1.8 million fewer than in 2024, because the population grows as the share improves.
Internet use moves from 72.2% of the population (2024) to between 87% and 95% by 2036, depending on the scenario. Simple continuation gives 91% — a rise of 19 percentage points.
In people rather than percentages: about 3.7 million would still be without it in 2036 under continuation — 6.1 million fewer than in 2024, because the population grows as the share improves.
Output per person spans $3,559 to $6,287 by 2036. The $2,728 between them is wider than half today's $3,257.
That spread is the distance between scenarios, not a margin of error — and it is a national average, which does not identify whose income moved.
The population reaches about 42 million — roughly 7 million more people than in 2025, about 26.6 million of them of working age.
This figure is the same in all three scenarios. Most of the people who will be alive in 2036 have already been born.

What has to happen first

Ghana is one of five countries on the Abidjan–Lagos Corridor Highway, with works due to commence in 2026 and completion earmarked…. Recorded as approved: it still has to reach financial close before it counts as capacity.
The Creative Arts Agency announced in 2026 that it will require all creative enterprises in Ghana to register and hold a licence…. Recorded as announced: it still has to be formally approved before it counts as money in motion.
For the Acceleration band to describe the decade, growth per person has to hold near 6.2% a year. This country has reached that rate before — its best year in the window was 11.6% — but has not sustained it across the 15-year record the band is drawn from.

What the growth model cannot see · Ghana

Commodity dependence

Material — Could push the outcome outside the modelled band.

Natural resource rents were 13% of GDP in 2021. Enough to transmit a global price swing into domestic fiscal conditions.

Why the band cannot contain it

The growth band averages across a commodity cycle, which flatters producers in a downswing and understates their exposure in an upswing. Price is set elsewhere and transmits to the budget within a quarter.

What would invalidate the modelled band

A sustained move in the country's principal export price of more than roughly a third. The band averages across a cycle and understates both tails.

Assessed in words and deliberately not converted into a probability. This platform does not publish likelihoods it cannot derive from evidence.

AI evidence state · Ghana

8 of 20 dimensions rest on a document or a measurement

2 dimensions have not been examined at all — which is a statement about this platform's research, not about Ghana. There is no readiness score here: ranking countries by a weighted sum of twenty evidence states would manufacture a number nobody measured.

5 Measured A published measurement exists for this country and has been read.

3 Documented A policy, law, contract or programme document exists. No measurement of its effect has been found.

5 Inferred Assessed from adjacent indicators. Nothing AI-specific was found for this country; the reading is circumstantial.

5 Not evident Searched, and nothing was found. Informative — but the absence of a published record is not proof that nothing exists.

2 Unexamined This platform has not looked. This is a statement about the research, not about the country.

Creative & cultural intelligence · Ghana

Cross-sector / whole creative economy

Measured as Cultural industries — heritage, arts and performance. The narrowest frame.

Ghana enacted the Creative Arts Industry Act in 2020 (Act 1048), upgrading the Creative Arts Council into a Creative Arts Agency with statutory powers to set standards, support practitioners and develop market access for the industry.

Limits of this figure

The Act establishes an institution. It does not measure the sector, and no Ghanaian creative-economy satellite account or official sector estimate was found. An institution existing in statute is not evidence that it is funded or effective.

Creative-economy figures are the most definition-sensitive numbers on this platform: the same country measured under a different frame can differ by a factor of three. Continental totals are held separately and are never attached to a country.

Source: Creative Arts Industry Act, 2020 (Act 1048) — Parliament of Ghana, 2020-10 · primary · verified 2026-07-25

Full brief for Ghana · Open in the atlas · Method · How to read the labels